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Not financial advice. All research published here is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing constitutes a personal recommendation or investment advice. All archived editions reflect data available at time of publication — verify independently before acting. Full disclaimer →

Research Desk

Weekly Pulse & Monthly Editions

Educational market research. Every Monday morning and the 1st of every month — macro, on-chain analysis, model signals, and the asset matrix. Not financial advice.

Monthly Edition5 min

Monthly Edition — The Month Risk-Off Returned

June 2026 so far: the market stopped believing in a summer rate cut, real yields near 4.5% pressured everything long-duration, and correlations went to one — only the dollar rose. Inside: the board, the three forces driving it, and what we're watching into July. The model is defensive.

22 June 2026Read →

Weekly Pulse6 min

Risk-Off: Hot Jobs Print Sends Bitcoin to 19-Month Low

A 172k payrolls print repriced the Fed toward a hike — yields jumped to 4.55%, equities and metals fell together, and Bitcoin sits at a 19-month low near $63.7k. Inside: the full live global KPI matrix (crypto, metals, energy, bonds, FX, equities), a cross-asset read, and a PESTLE snapshot. The model is defensive. CPI Wednesday is the hinge.

8 June 2026Read →